Friday, December 23, 2011

Virginia: Gingrich tops Romney in Virginia GOP race; Romney runs better against Obama


December 21, 2011 - Gingrich Tops Romney In Virginia GOP Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Romney Runs Better Against Obama
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Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich jumps into a slight 30 - 25 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney among Virginia Republicans in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. No other candidate tops 9 percent.

In a head-to-head matchup, Gingrich tops Romney by a larger 47 - 39 percent margin. Romney, however, runs better against President Barack Obama, getting 44 percent among all voters to Obama's 42 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. The president tops Gingrich 46 - 41 percent. Romney would do a better job than Gingrich handling the economy, Republican voters say 35 - 26 percent, but Gingrich tops Romney on other key measures:
  • 38 - 29 percent that he is a strong leader;
  • 49 - 18 percent that he is better on foreign policy;
  • 48 - 25 percent that he has the knowledge and experience to be president.
But Virginia voters see Romney - and Obama - in a more favorable light than Gingrich, who faces a crucial selling job to independents and moderate Democrats more partial to Romney. "Speaker Newt Gingrich jumps into the lead among Virginia Republicans, but Gov. Mitt Romney's calling card is still that he seems to have a better chance of actually winning the White House if nominated," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "As is the case across the country, Gingrich has come out of nowhere. The last time Quinnipiac University surveyed Virginia Republicans, in October, Gingrich was getting just 7 percent. As other candidates fade, Romney's 21 percent climbs to 25 percent now." Gingrich is viewed favorably by 29 percent of Virginia voters, unfavorably by 45 percent. Among Republicans he is 62 - 14 percent favorable, but among independent voters he is 51 - 25 percent unfavorable. By comparison, Romney has a 37 - 27 percent overall favorable rating, and is 59 - 15 percent favorable among Republicans and 41 - 28 percent favorable among independent voters. President Obama has a divided 45 - 47 percent favorability rating, 46 - 46 percent among independent voters, the key voting bloc in close elections. Voters disapprove 51 - 42 percent of the job he is doing as president and by 53 - 41 percent Virginia voters say he does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office. Overall, voters say 46 - 41 percent that Romney would do a better job than the president handling the economy. Gingrich gets 45 percent on the economy to Obama's 43 percent. "In 2008 President Obama was the first Democrat to carry Virginia since 1964. To do it again in 2012, he'll need to improve his current standing among Virginians," said Brown. U.S. Senate Race The Virginia U.S. Senate race remains too close to call with Republican George Allen at 44 percent and Democrat Tim Kaine at 42 percent. "Two popular former governors mean Virginia's U.S. Senate race could be a real cliff- hanger. This is the fourth Quinnipiac University poll showing the 2012 race too close to call," said Brown. From December 13 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,135 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The poll includes 489 Republicans with a margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman for whom would you vote?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Perry 6% 6% 5% 7% 1% 8% 3% 5% 6% Gingrich 30 35 26 33 27 34 30 41 27 Romney 25 21 30 21 37 22 34 14 29 Bachmann 6 5 6 7 2 7 2 13 2 Santorum 3 2 3 4 1 5 1 4 3 Paul 9 11 8 7 14 6 10 9 9 Huntsman 4 3 4 3 6 2 6 - 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 1 - - 1 DK/NA 15 14 17 17 9 15 14 12 16

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Perry 5% 6% 7% 3% 5% 7% 8% 2% Gingrich 25 34 27 34 36 36 27 29 Romney 29 23 21 24 34 24 25 27 Bachmann 7 5 5 9 3 2 8 7 Santorum 5 2 2 4 2 2 2 5 Paul 10 9 15 7 2 10 12 8 Huntsman 8 1 4 3 3 1 4 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 - 1 4 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 DK/NA 8 19 16 14 13 16 12 12

TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner)If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked)

                      REPUBLICANS...........
                      Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15
                      2011    2011    2011
                              
 Perry                 6      11      25
 Gingrich             30       7       4
 Romney               25      21      19
 Bachmann              6       7       5
 Santorum              3       2       2
 Paul                  9       9       8
 Huntsman              4       1       1
 Cain                 na      21       6
 McCotter             na      na       -
 Palin                na      na       7
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       -       1
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       2
 DK/NA                15      20      20
 
2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney for whom would you vote?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Gingrich 47% 53% 42% 51% 41% 51% 45% 65% 41% Romney 39 35 42 37 45 34 46 23 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 2 7 2 3 3 3 DK/NA 9 7 12 9 7 11 4 8 8

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Gingrich 39% 52% 46% 54% 46% 50% 46% 47% Romney 49 33 38 33 44 38 35 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 3 2 2 - 3 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 4 3 2 3 4 2 DK/NA 6 10 9 9 8 5 14 8

3. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Obama 42% 4% 87% 41% 42% 43% 32% 88% Romney 44 90 5 41 43 45 56 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 5 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 5 2 3 4 DK/NA 7 2 5 11 6 8 6 6

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Obama 43% 24% 24% 30% 18% 32% 43% 46% 39% Romney 47 62 64 55 70 54 39 42 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 4 5 3 5 2 3 DK/NA 4 7 5 9 5 7 9 6 7

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Obama 49% 39% 50% 43% 38% 44% Romney 41 45 34 41 51 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 4 DK/NA 5 9 10 9 4 5

TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15
                      2011    2011    2011
                              
 Obama                42      44      42
 Romney               44      45      44
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       1       2
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3       2
 DK/NA                 7       7       9
 
4. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Obama 46% 7% 90% 47% 45% 47% 36% 88% Gingrich 41 88 4 36 41 40 52 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 4 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 1 3 4 4 4 4 DK/NA 6 2 4 9 6 7 6 6

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Obama 47% 29% 27% 37% 21% 37% 47% 50% 43% Gingrich 43 57 60 51 66 50 36 40 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 5 2 5 4 6 4 3 DK/NA 4 7 6 7 5 7 10 4 6

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Obama 52% 43% 52% 46% 42% 51% Gingrich 38 43 33 42 45 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 4 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 3 4 3 DK/NA 4 8 8 7 6 3

5. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Favorable 29% 62% 5% 25% 32% 27% 35% 8% Unfavorable 45 14 72 51 48 42 42 62 Hvn't hrd enough 23 21 22 22 17 28 21 27 REFUSED 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 3

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Favorable 31% 37% 43% 36% 48% 33% 20% 29% 34% Unfavorable 58 31 33 44 28 43 41 48 45 Hvn't hrd enough 10 29 21 18 22 21 35 21 18 REFUSED 1 3 2 1 2 3 4 1 3

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Favorable 28% 30% 18% 36% 32% 33% Unfavorable 59 37 43 40 46 55 Hvn't hrd enough 11 30 36 20 20 11 REFUSED 2 3 3 4 1 1

6. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Favorable 37% 59% 19% 41% 39% 35% 46% 12% Unfavorable 27 15 37 28 33 22 25 36 Hvn't hrd enough 33 24 42 30 25 40 27 50 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Favorable 49% 43% 50% 49% 44% 51% 29% 34% 43% Unfavorable 34 19 20 30 22 24 30 31 22 Hvn't hrd enough 16 34 28 20 31 23 40 32 31 REFUSED 1 3 3 1 3 2 1 3 4

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Favorable 43% 33% 25% 35% 39% 49% Unfavorable 35 23 22 29 27 35 Hvn't hrd enough 19 41 53 33 32 15 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11
                      2011    2011
                              
 Favorable            37      38
 Unfavorable          27      29 
 Hvn't hrd enough     33      31 
 REFUSED               3       2
 
7. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Favorable 45% 7% 84% 46% 43% 47% 35% 88% Unfavorable 47 88 10 46 51 44 59 2 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 6 REFUSED 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 3

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Favorable 46% 27% 28% 37% 20% 38% 47% 47% 41% Unfavorable 50 65 65 60 75 55 43 46 52 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 3 REFUSED 2 6 5 1 3 5 5 5 4

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Favorable 52% 41% 52% 44% 42% 49% Unfavorable 43 50 39 48 53 47 Hvn't hrd enough 2 4 5 4 1 2 REFUSED 3 5 4 4 4 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11
                      2011    2011
                              
 Favorable            45      45
 Unfavorable          47      49 
 Hvn't hrd enough      3       2 
 REFUSED               4       3 
 
8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

More 30% 42% 29% 24% 36% 25% 28% 33% Less 23 15 21 29 22 25 24 17 About the same 46 42 50 47 41 50 47 50 DK/NA 1 1 - - 1 1 1 -

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

More 26% 30% 30% 24% 33% 24% 22% 32% 34% Less 25 23 22 27 21 27 28 24 19 About the same 48 46 47 50 46 48 49 43 46 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1 -

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

More 27% 32% 27% 28% 34% 30% Less 27 21 21 19 25 29 About the same 45 46 52 53 41 39 DK/NA 1 - - - - 1

TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11
                      2011    2011
                              
 More                 30      35
 Less                 23      20 
 About the same       46      44 
 DK/NA                 1       1 
 
9. If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Allen 44% 88% 8% 40% 48% 41% 52% 12% Kaine 42 5 78 44 39 44 35 66 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 2 1 1 6 DK/NA(VOL) 12 7 12 12 9 14 11 15

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Allen 45% 58% 64% 50% 74% 47% 35% 42% 51% Kaine 43 30 26 34 18 38 49 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 DK/NA(VOL) 10 11 8 14 7 13 13 14 9

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Allen 40% 47% 36% 47% 47% 48% Kaine 48 38 47 40 38 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA(VOL) 10 12 14 9 12 6

TREND: If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                      2011    2011    2011    2011
                              
 Allen                44      44      45      42
 Kaine                42      45      44      43
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       2
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       1       2
 DK/NA(VOL)           12       9       9      11
 
10. Is your opinion of - George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Favorable 41% 73% 15% 39% 47% 35% 47% 18% Unfavorable 27 5 46 34 30 25 25 35 Hvn't hrd enough 30 21 38 25 22 38 27 46 REFUSED 2 1 - 1 1 2 1 2

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Favorable 41% 52% 57% 48% 64% 43% 31% 43% 45% Unfavorable 34 18 20 28 15 27 16 30 31 Hvn't hrd enough 23 29 21 24 21 29 53 26 22 REFUSED 1 1 1 - - 1 - 1 2

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Favorable 39% 43% 31% 44% 44% 47% Unfavorable 35 22 23 29 25 33 Hvn't hrd enough 25 34 44 26 31 20 REFUSED 2 1 2 - 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11
                      2011    2011
                              
 Favorable            41      45
 Unfavorable          27      28 
 Hvn't hrd enough     30      26 
 REFUSED               2       1 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Favorable 42% 21% 66% 44% 44% 41% 40% 56% Unfavorable 27 51 7 27 32 23 33 8 Hvn't hrd enough 28 26 27 27 21 34 26 34 REFUSED 2 1 - 2 2 2 1 2

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Favorable 47% 35% 33% 42% 25% 45% 45% 43% 40% Unfavorable 32 34 40 32 46 29 13 31 33 Hvn't hrd enough 20 30 26 25 27 25 42 26 24 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Favorable 50% 38% 35% 44% 42% 54% Unfavorable 28 27 22 28 28 30 Hvn't hrd enough 21 32 41 27 29 14 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 - 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11
                      2011    2011
                              
 Favorable            42      47
 Unfavorable          27      29 
 Hvn't hrd enough     28      23 
 REFUSED               2       1 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Approve 42% 5% 82% 39% 38% 46% 31% 88% Disapprove 51 90 13 52 56 46 63 3 DK/NA 7 5 6 9 6 8 6 10

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Approve 40% 24% 24% 31% 16% 32% 41% 45% 40% Disapprove 56 68 70 65 79 60 46 51 54 DK/NA 4 8 6 5 5 7 13 5 6

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Approve 46% 40% 52% 42% 39% 42% Disapprove 49 52 38 50 56 54 DK/NA 5 8 10 8 5 4

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                      2011    2011    2011    2011
                              
 Approve              42      45      40      48
 Disapprove           51      52      54      48
 DK/NA                 7       3       6       4
 
19. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Yes/Deserves 41% 3% 85% 39% 37% 45% 30% 90% No/Does not 53 94 10 53 56 49 65 4 DK/NA 6 3 5 8 7 6 6 6

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Yes/Deserves 39% 23% 22% 28% 15% 31% 40% 45% 39% No/Does not 56 70 71 68 79 64 51 51 54 DK/NA 5 7 6 4 6 5 9 4 7

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Yes/Deserves 44% 39% 52% 44% 35% 41% No/Does not 50 54 41 51 58 55 DK/NA 6 6 7 5 7 4

TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

                      Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                      2011    2011    2011    2011
                              
 Yes/Deserves         41      44      41      47
 No/Does not          53      51      51      47
 DK/NA                 6       5       8       6
 
20. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the economy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul or Jon Huntsman?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Perry 6% 8% 5% 8% 2% 10% 3% 5% 7% Gingrich 26 24 29 27 27 31 21 35 23 Romney 35 31 38 33 43 26 49 25 40 Bachmann 5 6 5 6 4 6 3 14 2 Santorum 2 4 1 3 1 3 2 5 1 Paul 12 17 6 12 12 11 13 7 13 Huntsman 3 4 2 2 4 2 3 1 3 DK/NA 11 7 14 9 8 11 7 8 11

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Perry 3% 8% 8% 6% 5% 9% 6% 3% Gingrich 20 30 21 34 31 32 26 22 Romney 44 30 29 34 44 28 33 43 Bachmann 6 5 7 4 4 2 7 6 Santorum 2 2 4 1 2 3 2 3 Paul 12 12 20 6 2 12 13 12 Huntsman 6 1 3 2 3 1 1 7 DK/NA 7 12 10 12 8 12 11 4

21. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - foreign policy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul or Jon Huntsman?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Perry 4% 3% 4% 5% - 6% 1% 4% 4% Gingrich 49 52 47 52 48 49 50 60 46 Romney 18 15 21 15 25 16 24 13 21 Bachmann 3 3 3 4 1 5 1 7 1 Santorum 4 5 2 5 1 4 3 7 2 Paul 6 7 4 5 7 5 6 - 7 Huntsman 5 6 5 4 8 2 8 1 7 DK/NA 12 9 15 10 9 12 8 7 12

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Perry 4% 4% 6% 2% 2% 6% 3% 2% Gingrich 46 51 43 57 55 50 48 53 Romney 22 16 16 16 22 17 16 22 Bachmann 2 3 5 1 1 2 6 1 Santorum 3 4 5 2 2 4 4 3 Paul 6 5 10 1 2 7 6 6 Huntsman 11 2 4 5 7 5 4 8 DK/NA 7 15 11 16 9 11 13 5

22. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - immigration issues: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul or Jon Huntsman?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Perry 15% 16% 13% 18% 9% 17% 12% 15% 15% Gingrich 27 31 23 25 30 26 26 28 26 Romney 18 13 23 16 25 15 26 12 21 Bachmann 10 11 8 11 6 9 8 18 6 Santorum 4 6 2 5 - 5 4 9 2 Paul 7 10 5 8 6 9 8 5 8 Huntsman 3 3 3 2 5 1 4 - 4 DK/NA 18 11 24 15 19 18 12 13 17

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Perry 16% 14% 20% 12% 10% 18% 12% 15% Gingrich 25 28 22 32 33 32 25 24 Romney 20 17 19 12 21 18 22 16 Bachmann 9 10 7 14 10 4 10 14 Santorum 5 3 4 4 3 5 1 6 Paul 8 7 11 4 3 9 7 7 Huntsman 6 1 2 3 3 1 3 4 DK/NA 11 21 15 19 17 14 20 15

23. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul or Jon Huntsman?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Perry 5% 4% 5% 6% 1% 7% 2% 7% 4% Gingrich 48 53 42 51 43 51 47 59 44 Romney 25 22 29 22 39 21 32 14 31 Bachmann 3 2 3 4 - 3 - 9 1 Santorum 1 2 1 2 - 2 1 1 1 Paul 5 7 3 5 5 4 7 2 7 Huntsman 2 2 3 2 3 - 4 - 3 DK/NA 10 7 13 8 9 11 8 8 9

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Perry 2% 6% 6% 3% 4% 7% 4% 2% Gingrich 44 50 43 54 53 52 47 47 Romney 32 22 23 23 30 23 27 27 Bachmann 3 3 4 3 - 2 4 3 Santorum 2 1 2 - 1 - - 4 Paul 8 4 9 3 - 8 3 7 Huntsman 6 1 2 2 3 1 3 4 DK/NA 5 13 11 10 8 8 12 7

24. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being a strong leader: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul or Jon Huntsman?

                      REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................
                                                         WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                      Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 

Perry 9% 11% 7% 10% 8% 11% 8% 11% 9% Gingrich 38 38 38 40 38 44 36 46 35 Romney 29 26 33 29 34 23 38 19 35 Bachmann 4 4 3 5 1 4 1 11 1 Santorum 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 2 1 Paul 6 9 4 6 7 7 6 2 7 Huntsman 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 - 3 DK/NA 10 8 11 7 9 7 8 9 9

COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ 100K

Perry 9% 10% 12% 6% 7% 11% 9% 8% Gingrich 36 40 34 46 41 41 37 36 Romney 35 27 25 27 37 28 30 30 Bachmann 3 4 4 5 1 3 6 3 Santorum 2 1 2 - 1 1 1 3 Paul 8 6 11 5 - 6 7 8 Huntsman 3 1 3 1 3 1 2 3 DK/NA 5 12 9 11 9 9 9 8

25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Obama 41% 5% 80% 36% 39% 42% 27% 90% Romney 46 87 10 50 48 45 59 3 DK/NA 13 8 10 14 12 14 13 6

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Obama 37% 21% 20% 29% 14% 29% 44% 43% 37% Romney 54 63 65 64 71 58 40 45 51 DK/NA 10 15 15 7 15 12 17 12 12

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Obama 44% 38% 49% 41% 35% 41% Romney 47 46 36 43 52 52 DK/NA 9 15 14 16 14 7

26. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 

Obama 43% 4% 85% 40% 43% 43% 31% 87% Gingrich 45 90 5 44 47 43 57 3 DK/NA 12 6 10 15 10 14 12 10

WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvan AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+

Obama 42% 24% 23% 30% 16% 32% 43% 46% 41% Gingrich 49 62 64 59 72 55 39 44 49 DK/NA 9 14 12 11 12 13 19 10 11

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 100K

Obama 47% 40% 51% 43% 35% 47% Gingrich 43 46 35 45 49 47 DK/NA 9 14 14 12 15 6


Demographic Summary

Source: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x5822.xml?ReleaseID=1684

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